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The market showed strength throughout much of Thursday’s session despite a record weekly jobless claim figure. A pop in oil lifted sentiment after President Trump tweeted a production cut could be coming from Saudi Arabia and Russia.

Trump said that Russia and Saudi Arabia were hopefully on board with a 10 million barrel per day production cut. Energy zoomed 9% on the news to lead the market’s overall strength with volatility closing near the 50 level.

The Russell 2000 tested a session high of 1,102 while settling at 1,085. Major resistance at 1,100 was cleared but held with upside potential 1,115-1,125 on a close above this level.

The Dow traded to an afternoon peak of 21,477 while closing at 21,413. Key resistance at 21,000 was recovered with continued closes above the the 21,500 level leading to a run towards 21,750-22,000 over the near-term.

The S&P 500 settled at 2,526 with the morning peak reaching 2,533. Near-term resistance at 2,525 was recovered with additional hurdles at 2,550-2,575.

The Nasdaq tested an intraday high of 7,501 while closing at 7,487. Key resistance at 7,500 was breached but held with upside potential towards 7,550-7,600 on continued closes above this level.

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ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES

Armstrong World (AWI) upgraded to In Line from Underperform at Evercore ISI
Bristol-Myers (BMY) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley
D.R. Horton (DHI) double upgraded to Buy from Sell at Goldman Sachs

Booz Allen (BAH) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel
Exxon Mobil (XOM) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus
Toll Brothers (TOL) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman Sachs

FRIDAY'S EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS
Before the open: Constellation Brands (STZ), Xinyuan Real Estate (XIN)

After the close: None

FRIDAY'S ECONOMIC NEWS
Employment Report - 8:30am
PMI Composite Flash - 9:45am
ISM Non-Manufacturing Index - 10:00am
Baker-Hughes Rig Count - 1:00pm

METALS/ OIL
Gold closed at $1,637.70   an ounce, up $46.30
Silver settled at $114.65 an ounce, up $0.67
Copper finished at $2.22  a pound, up $0.05
Crude Oil was at $23.84 a barrel,
 up $1.63
Bitcoin Investment Trust (GBTC) ended at $7.72 up $1.23


I hope this helps you prepare for the trading day. Make it a great one!


   Todd Mitchell


Not sure the best way to get started?

Follow these 3 simple steps ...

Step #1: Get These FREE Reports & Videos

Options INCOME  Profits   8 Video  Series    Habits that Kill Traders...



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The post Bulls Rebound but Remain Vulnerable appeared first on Trading Concepts, Inc..

The Dow rallied on Thursday, but traders had to contend with another wild session on Wall Street, as oil prices mounted their biggest one-day percentage gain ever, overshadowing a record jump in jobless claims amid a coronavirus-led lockdown across swathes of the country, with infections topping 1 million worldwide. 

The Dow rose 2.24%, or 470 points. The S&P 500 added 2.3% and the Nasdaq Composite was 1.7% higher.

Oil prices settled up 24%, their highest ever percentage gain, pushing energy stocks and the broader market higher, as President Donald Trump talked up the potential of a Russia-Saudi oil-production-cut agreement.

"Just spoke to my friend MBS (Crown Prince) of Saudi Arabia, who spoke with President Putin of Russia, & I expect & hope that they will be cutting back approximately 10 Million Barrels, and maybe substantially more which, if it happens, will be GREAT for the oil & gas industry!" Trump tweeted.

Reports that Russia is planning to stick it out with the lower oil price environment raised some concern that the Kremlin may be wary of striking a deal with Saudi Arabia to cut production. Russia's revised budget for 2020 reportedly shows the country is planning for a $20-a-barrel oil price environment, Bloomberg reported.

Meanwhile, Saudi Arabian officials said Trump's claims of cuts of more than 10 million barrels per day were an "exaggeration," The Wall Street Journal reported.

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Even if managed, a 15 million bpd cut is unlikely to prevent glut in supply, with Stacey Morris at Alerian estimating the coronavirus impact had slashed demand by about 20 million bpd, The Wall Street Journal reported.

"Clearly, it's (the potential cut) better than the alternative of doing nothing and waiting for physical storage constraints to limit production," Morris said. "However, even if cuts total 15 million bpd, the global oil market could still be in an oversupply situation."

Ahead of nonfarm payrolls report due Friday, jobless claims were higher than expected with another 6.65 million Americans filing for first-time unemployment insurance last week.

Utilities and materials also contributed to broad-based rally, with the rising Covid-19 infections seemingly taking a back seat.

Coronavirus infections reached 1 million worldwide, with more than 50,000 dead so far.  

Source: https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/stocks--dow-racks-up-gains-in-wild-trading-as-oil-prices-notch-biggest-1day-gain-2129583

I hope this article is helpful. 

The post Dow Racks up Gains in Wild Trading as Oil Prices Notch Biggest 1-Day Gain appeared first on Trading Concepts, Inc..

Option Block 889: How to Lose $15M Selling Puts

  • HOST:  MARK LONGO, THE OPTIONS INSIDER MEDIA GROUP
  • CO-HOST: ANDREW GIOVINAZZI, THE OPTION PIT
  • CO-HOST: MIKE TOSAW, ST. CHARLES WEALTH MANAGEMENT

TRADING BLOCK SEGMENT

  • MORE TERRIBLE JOBS NUMBERS
  • HIGHEST VOLUME MONTH EVER FOR U.S. EQUITY OPTIONS INDUSTRY
  • VIX: 52.5 - DOWN 7.5 FROM LAST SHOW
  • VVIX: 151 - DOWN 9 FROM LAST SHOW
  • VXX: 47.8 - DOWN 2.2 FROM LAST SHOW

ODD BLOCK

  • REVIEW APD LINE IN THE SAND PUTS

MAIL BLOCK

  • QUESTION FROM BRIAN COLLAMER:  HI GENTS! IN MY ROTH I'M LONG A COUPLE OF 300/305 CALL SPREADS IN SPY. ONE IS THE 19JUN20 {EXDIV DATE, $1.40 DIV} EXPIRATION AND THE OTHER IS THE 18SEP20 {EXDIV DATE}. BOUGHT THESE DURING THOSE 10% DOWN DAYS, COULDN'T RESIST… ANYHOW, AS I'M SHORT SOME CALLS, WILL I BE ON THE HOOK FOR THE DIVIDENDS SHOULD THESE 300 CALLS GO ITM? IF THE SHORT CALLS DO GO ATM/ITM, I NEED TO LOOK AT THE BID FOR THE 300 PUTS AND COMPARE TO DIVIDEND RIGHT? DO I NEED TO WORRY ABOUT THIS ON THE EX-DIV DATE OR THE PAYOUT DATE? THANK YOU FOR YOUR FANTASTIC PODCASTS!!! BRIAN PS - I STILL MISS THE O.O SHOW ON TOS......
  • QUESTION FROM DAMIAN: HEY THERE, LOVE THE SHOW! I HAVE A QUESTION ABOUT THE LONG PUTS SPREAD.  IS IT POSSIBLE TO MODIFY IT BY ADDING A DIAGONAL COMPONENT? SPECIFICALLY, BUYING ONE ITM CALL WITH LONG EXPIRATION AND BUYING ONE ITM PUT AT SHORT TERM EXPIRATION?  MY EXPECTATION FOR THE UNDERLYING IS LONG TERM BULLISH AND SHORT TERM OR PERIODIC WEAKNESS. I AM NEW TO OPTIONS AND THOUGHT ABOUT THIS STRATEGY AS A WAY TO HEDGE A LEAPS POSITION AND POSSIBLY PROFIT DURING SHORT TERM DOWN SWINGS. WOULD THIS EVEN WORK, TOO EXPENSIVE, OR IS THERE A BETTER WAY (PROBABLY) TO EXECUTE THIS STRATEGY? THANKS SO MUCH!
  • QUESTION FROM NIKOLAI: DOES UNCLE MIKE STILL LIKE $XLE TO PLAY ENERGY/OIL OR DOES HE PREFER $USO?

AROUND THE BLOCK

WHAT’S ON OUR RADAR FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK?

The market was back in the red for the 2nd-straight session after gapping lower on Wednesday following an update from the President about the ongoing coronavirus concerns. President Trump said there are new projections for 100,000 to 240,000 deaths in the U.S. from the coronavirus pandemic even if current social distancing guidelines are maintained.

Markets around the globe were hit hard along with the major indexes here at home. Support levels from a week ago are back in play with volatility holding a key level of resistance.

The Russell 2000 tumbled to a low of 1,064 while settling just south of 1,072. Prior and key support from at 1,075 was breached and failed to hold to keep downside risk towards 1,050-1,025 in focus.

The Dow tapped a low of 20,784 before closing at 20,953. Key support at 21,000 failed to hold with continued closes below this level keeping risk towards 20,500 in play.

The S&P 500 traded to a late day low of 2,447 while closing at 2,470. Support at 2,450 was breached but held with additional downside risk towards 2,425-2,400 on a close below this level.

The Nasdaq tested a late day low of 7,301 while settling at 7,360. Crucial support at 7,300 was challenged but held with a close below this level signaling weakness towards 7,250-7,200.

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ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES

AmerisourceBergen (ABC) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan
Cree (CREE) upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at Piper Sandler
Intel (INTC) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays

AT&T (T) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan
Expedia (EXPE) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) downgraded to Buy from Conviction Buy at Goldman Sachs

THURSDAY'S EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS
Before the open:  Acuity Brands (AYI), Apogee Enterprises (APOG), CarMax (KMX), Schnitzer Steel Industries (SCHN), Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA)

After the close: Chewy (CHWY), Dave & Buster's Entertainment (PLAY), Franklin Covey (FC), Navigator Holdings (NVGS), Resources Connection (RECN)

THURSDAY'S ECONOMIC NEWS
Jobless Claims - 8:30am
Import and Export Prices - 8:30am
Durable Goods Orders - 8:30am
ISM New York Business Conditions - 9:45am
Factory Orders - 10:00am

METALS/ OIL
Gold closed at $1,591.40   an ounce, down $5.20
Silver settled at $13.98 an ounce, down $0.17
Copper finished at $2.17  a pound, down $0.06
Crude Oil was at $22.21 a barrel,
 up $0.47
Bitcoin Investment Trust (GBTC) ended at $6.49 down $0.62


I hope this helps you prepare for the trading day. Make it a great one!


   Todd Mitchell


Not sure the best way to get started?

Follow these 3 simple steps ...

Step #1: Get These FREE Reports & Videos

Options INCOME  Profits   8 Video  Series    Habits that Kill Traders...



Step #2: Enroll in an Advisory or Educational Program
Premium Advisories | Featured  Educational  Programs 



Step #3: Connect with The Community
Trading Concepts Official Facebook Page

The post Market Gaps Lower as Coronavirus Fears Heighten appeared first on Trading Concepts, Inc..

Markets are under pressure again thanks to the spread of the coronavirus. Last check, there are now 874,081 global cases with 43,291 deaths. In the U.S. alone, there are 189,633 cases. In Italy, 105,792. In Spain, 102,136. In China, 82,359.

Worse, Double Line Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach says the coronavirus sell off is not over yet. “The low we hit in the middle of March … I would bet that low will get taken out,” Gundlach said, as quoted by CNBC. “The market has really made it back to a resistance zone and the market continues to act somewhat dysfunctionally in my opinion. Take out the low of March and then we’ll get a more enduring low.”

The best way to trade this madness is to again buy the TVIX, UVXY, and VXX at market prices.

  • ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY) -- As volatility ticks higher, ETFs such as the UVXY run higher. ETF was designed to match two times (2x) the daily performance of the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index.
  • VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Short-Term ETN (TVIX) -- The TVIX is another great way to trade elevated volatility. This ETF tracks an index of futures contracts on the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index. As volatility ticks higher, the TVIX ticks higher.
  • iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (VXX) - As volatility returns, one of the best ways to profit from volatility is with the VXX ETN, which provides exposure to the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index Total Return. In simple terms, as volatility shoots higher, so does the VXX.

Until the situation is under control, markets will remain incredibly volatile.

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The post Extreme Option Profits Chart of Day…Dow Jones ($INDU) appeared first on Trading Concepts, Inc..

The market closed out its worst quarter since the 2008 financial crisis with a down day with the U.S., Europe and other parts of the world still engulfed by the coronavirus pandemic. The March selloff represented a greater then 30% decline at its worst point during the quarter, but a roughly 15% rebound over the past week.

The Russell 2000 traded down to 1,130 while settling at 1,153. Key support from at 1,125 was challenged but held with a close below this level signaling risk towards the 1,100 level.

The Dow tested down to 21,852 before closing at 21,917. Current support at 22,000 failed to,hold with continued closes below this level keeping backtest potential towards 21,500 in focus.

The S&P 500 tapped an intraday low of 2,571 while closing at 2,584. Near-term support at 2,575 was breached but held with downside risk towards 2,525 on a close below this level.

The Nasdaq tumbled to a late day low of 7,642 while settling at 7,700. Key support at 7,700 was breached but held with a close below this level signaling a retest towards 7,650-7,600.

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unique income strategy allows you to profit regardless if the market goes up, down or sideways…as high as 84.2% accuracy & puts money into your account as soon as you place the trade!

These unique ‘Income Trades’ have limited risk and they typically play out in a few days.

Perfect for boosting your weekly income and building your retirement account.

Go here to learn more about Creating a Steady Stream of Profits Each Week Like Clockwork

ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES

Cirrus Logic (CRUS) upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA
Dollar General (DG) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo
HP Enterprise (HPE) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo

Amarin (AMRN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies
Baker Hughes (BKR) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus
Venus Concept (VERO) downgraded to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer

WEDNESDAY'S EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS
Before the open:  iMedia Brands (IMBI), Jiayin Group (JFIN), Lamb Weston Holdings (LW), Stealth BioTherapeutics (MITO), UniFirst (UNF)

After the close: Ascendis Pharma (ASND), NovaGold Resources (NG), PVH (PVH)

WEDNESDAY'S ECONOMIC NEWS
MBA Mortgage Applications - 7:00am
ADP Employment Report - 8:15am
PMI Services Index - 9:45am
Construction Spending - 10:00am
ISM Manufacturing Index - 10:00am

METALS/ OIL
Gold closed at $1,596.60   an ounce, down $46.60
Silver settled at $14.16 an ounce, up $0.03
Copper finished at $2.23  a pound, up $0.07
Crude Oil was at $20.74 a barrel,
 up $0.37
Bitcoin Investment Trust (GBTC) ended at $7.12 up $0.07


I hope this helps you prepare for the trading day. Make it a great one!


   Todd Mitchell


Not sure the best way to get started?

Follow these 3 simple steps ...

Step #1: Get These FREE Reports & Videos

Options INCOME  Profits   8 Video  Series    Habits that Kill Traders...



Step #2: Enroll in an Advisory or Educational Program
Premium Advisories | Featured  Educational  Programs 



Step #3: Connect with The Community
Trading Concepts Official Facebook Page

The post Bears Wrap up a Nasty Month/ Quarter appeared first on Trading Concepts, Inc..

Stocks just closed out their worst first quarter ever.

The S&P 500 fell 20% in the first three months of the year, breaking the previous first-quarter record set in 1938, as the coronavirus pandemic worsened.

There were a few market bright spots, though. Stocks including Citrix, Regeneron, Netflix, Gilead, Nvidia and Amazon ended the quarter higher.

Craig Johnson, chief market technician at Piper Sandler, says one performing stock is setting up for a fall.

“J.M. Smucker — this is a stock to me that looks like it should be sold. It’s up 6% year to date, but ... it’s been a better relative performer than an absolute performer, to be clear,” Johnson told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Tuesday. “This is a stock that we should be taking some profits.”

John Petrides, portfolio manager at Tocqueville Asset Management, agrees with Johnson’s J.M. Smucker call.

“Consumer staples has been a relative outperformer, but Smuckers for a very long time has not been able to grow organically. I think investors are playing the run on the supermarket, and the fact that it has an above average yield, and that is supporting the valuation. But organically and structurally, I think the company has issues that it still has to work through, so I wouldn’t pay up for this stock,” he said during the same segment.

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Petrides also notes that Netflix may be facing downside pressure after a 16% run this year. He says high valuations and dependency on subscriber growth and increasing content costs could keep a check on the stock.

There is one stock Johnson says has the ability to keep on climbing.

“I think the opportunities in other names, such as in the technology sector, where you have Nvidia. When you look at that chart, this is a stock that’s been much stronger. It’s corrected right back to the rising 200-day moving average, great support at about $200,” said Johnson.

Johnson says Nvidia could see moves to the high $300s. That would surpass its February record high of $316.32.

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/31/netflix-others-market-bright-spots-after-sp-500s-worst-first-quarter-ever.html

I hope this article is helpful in your trading strategy. 

The post Netflix, others are market bright spots after S&P 500′s worst first quarter ever appeared first on Trading Concepts, Inc..

On March 25, 2020, we highlighted Nike (NKE) as an opportunity in a Chart of Day.

At the time, we recommended the stock, as it traded at $79.14, and the NKE May 15, 2020 85 call, as it traded at $6.80.  At the moment, the NKE stock is up to $83.40.  The call is now up to nearly $10 a contract.  Consider selling to close half of the call to secure partial win.  Hold the second half of the call and the NKE stock.

The stock continues to push higher thanks to solid growth.

Over the last few days, Nike reported that global sales grew 7% after adjusting for currency exchange rates, which is great news considering China sales fell for the first time in years. The company also earned $847 million, or 53 cents a share, as compared to $1.1 billion, or 68 cents year over year. Revenue was up 5% to $10.1 billion thanks to 13% with Nike Direct, and with digital growth of 36%.

​This is just one of the opportunities we find quite often inside Extreme Option Profits.

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The post Extreme Option Profits Chart of Day…Nike (NKE) appeared first on Trading Concepts, Inc..

The market rebounded on Monday following encouraging news concerning testing and vaccine development for the coronavirus. Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) zoomed 8% after announcing the selection of a lead COVID-19 vaccine candidate from constructs it has been working on since January 2020. Additionally, J&J announced the rapid scaling of the company's manufacturing capacity, with the goal of providing global supply of more than one billion doses of a vaccine if one is found to be successful.

The Russell 2000 closed on its session high of 1,158. Major resistance at 1,150 was recovered to keep upside potential 1,175-1,190 in the mix.

The Dow traded to an afternoon peak of 22,378 while closing at 22,327. Key resistance at 22,250 was cleared and held with continued closes above the this level leading to a run towards 22,750-23,000 over the near-term.

The S&P 500 settled at 2,626 with the late day peak reaching 2,631. Near-term resistance at 2,625 was recovered with additional hurdles at 2,650-2,675.

The Nasdaq tested a high of 7,784 ahead of the close while closing at 7,774. Key resistance at 7,750 was breached and held with upside potential towards 7,800-7,850 on continued momentum.

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Every Week Like Clockwork!

unique income strategy allows you to profit regardless if the market goes up, down or sideways…as high as 84.2% accuracy & puts money into your account as soon as you place the trade!

These unique ‘Income Trades’ have limited risk and they typically play out in a few days.

Perfect for boosting your weekly income and building your retirement account.

Go here to learn more about Creating a Steady Stream of Profits Each Week Like Clockwork

ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES

Alphabet (GOOG) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital
Mondelez (MDLZ) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel
Procter & Gamble (PG) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies

3M (MMM) downgraded to Underperform from Hold at Gordon Haskett
Designer Brands (DBI) downgraded to Underweight from Overweight at Wells Fargo
Hilton (HLT) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital.

TUESDAY'S EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS
Before the open: BioNTech (BNTX), Conagra Brands (CAG), Fangdd Network Group (DUO), Huize Holding (HUIZ), iClick Interactive Asia Group (ICLK), McCormick & Company (MKC), Trinity Biotech (TRIB)

After the close: Blackberry (BB), GWG Holdings (GWGH), Landec (LNDC), Paysign (PAYS), ProPetro Holding (PUMP), Verint Systems (VRNT)

TUESDAY'S ECONOMIC NEWS
Redbook - 8:55am
S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller - 9:00am
Chicago PMI - 9:45am

METALS/ OIL
Gold closed at $1,643.20   an ounce, down $10.90
Silver settled at $14.13 an ounce, down $0.40
Copper finished at $2.16  a pound,  down $0.01
Crude Oil was at $20.37 a barrel,
 down $1.53
Bitcoin Investment Trust (GBTC) ended at $7.05 down $0.25


I hope this helps you prepare for the trading day. Make it a great one!


   Todd Mitchell


Not sure the best way to get started?

Follow these 3 simple steps ...

Step #1: Get These FREE Reports & Videos

Options INCOME  Profits   8 Video  Series    Habits that Kill Traders...



Step #2: Enroll in an Advisory or Educational Program
Premium Advisories | Featured  Educational  Programs 



Step #3: Connect with The Community
Trading Concepts Official Facebook Page

The post Bulls Get Monday Win appeared first on Trading Concepts, Inc..

Option Block 888: Why The Heck Are We Rallying?

  • HOST:  MARK LONGO, THE OPTIONS INSIDER MEDIA GROUP
  • CO-HOST: MARK SEBASTIAN, THE OPTION PIT
  • CO-HOST: MIKE TOSAW, ST. CHARLES WEALTH MANAGEMENT

TRADING BLOCK SEGMENT

  • WE’RE RALLYING YET AGAIN...FOR SOME REASON. 
  • TERRIBLE JOBS NUMBERS...GROWING DEATH TOLLS….INCREASING THE CLOSURE AND DISTANCING UNTIL 4/30, TALKS OF SHUTTING DOWN THE MARKETS - AND WE’RE RALLYING!!
  • GS TRADING NEAR $4. PROBABLY $4 TOO HIGH
  • VIX: 60 - UP 2 FROM LAST SHOW
  • VVIX: 160 - DOWN 7 FROM LAST SHOW
  • VXX: 50 - UP 3 FROM LAST SHOW

ODD BLOCK

  • PM CALL CRUSHING
  • LYG LINE IN THE SAND PUTS

STRATEGY BLOCK

  • HOW TO EXPERTLY TAKE TAX LOSSES IN THIS MARKET

MAIL BLOCK

  • QUESTION FROM STOCKPICKER320: I HAVE A QUESTION. WITH THIS CRAZY CORONAVIRUS IMPACTED STOCK MARKET WHAT WOULD HAPPEN IF A PERSON OWNED A CALL OR PUT OPTION AND THE STOCK MARKET CLOSED FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME AND THE OPTIONS EXPIRATION DATE WAS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD? WOULD THE CALL OR PUT OPTION BECOME WORTHLESS IF THE STOCK MARKET OPENED AFTER THE OPTION EXPIRATION DATE HAD PASSED? AFTER 911 I THINK THAT THE STOCK MARKET WAS CLOSED FOR 6 DAYS.

AROUND THE BLOCK

WHAT’S ON OUR RADAR FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK?

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