Articles from the Experts

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Option Block 364: Dollar General Madness Continues

Trading Block: Rally ho on the street today! German 10-year realized vol was 100%!

The social media trio - FB, LKDN and TWTR mixed today.

 

Odd Block: Unusual options activity in DG, AMSC, EGHT, and TASR.

 

Xpress Block: Schwab tools: The 4-legged trade ticket is coming to Schwab the first-second week of September.

 

Mail Block: Question from Ted Schwartz

  • Hi, I'm working my way through the Options Boot Camp and Option Block, learning lots of good stuff.  I was wondering what kind of options strategies exist to hedge my 401K mutual funds gains?  Would it be practical to use protective puts on some indexes, etc. to offset my risk of fund losses? Thanks!

 

 

Around the Block: What can we expect from Yellen and the Fed?

Option Block 363: The Last Train to Pallookaville

Trading Block: The market rallied about half a handle. Putin talks up the street. Bonds: TLT & IEF. Berkshire A crosses $200,000 a share. Red Robin taking it on the chin today.

 

Odd Block: Some unusual activity in TSRA, NM, and NKTR

 

Xpress Block: The social networking triplets (Twitter, LinkedIn and Facebook) were all active today. Amazon surprisingly active as well.

Mail Block: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from Everett: Really enjoy the show, and find it incredibly useful in helping break down the complexities of more technical trades.  That said, is it possible to point to 3 key technical-focused factors that you believe to be the most important factors for consideration when trading biotech options around a catalytic event (E.g FDA marketing approval). I doubt an example is necessary, but to clarify, I don't mean examining the strength of the company’s clinical trial submissions in anticipation of an FDA decision; rather, are there 3-5 stock/options-focused factors (E.g. implied volatility, Delta, Vega, etc.) that you would recommend analyzing in anticipation of trading options around a biotech's upcoming catalytic event?  I recognize these factors might be different based on the strategy one chooses to employ, but if possible, what would say those 3-5 factors should be just generally, if I am willing to employ a diversity of strategies? Thank you in advance for your time and consideration, Everett
  • Question from Joe: Option Block Question: Greetings.  My question deals with order fulfillment on a spread.  During the wild few days that TWTR had a few months back the IV shot through the roof, the vol skew went way out of whack, and it was possible to put on long spreads for even money or credit...but I had to leg into the spread because my broker said "I could not get filled for even money on a spread."  Which leads to my question, how are the smaller lots (I usually trade 10-50 contract lots) handled on the market with respect to their fulfillment?  Logic and the current state of technology leads be to believe that like strike prices are grouped together and sold on the market in order to obtain a better leverage when trying to obtain a sale price.  If this is not the case, how does fulfillment take place with spreads?
  • Question from MrLami: Hello...What parameters can one use to scan for unusual options activity real-time (OR) what is the thought process behind it (I can use my intellect or practice for how I can start spotting these myself)? Is there a way to receive alerts for "Unusual Activity" section on this website?

 

 

Around the Block: Bonds. US global affairs. Ukraine and Iraq.

Option Block 362: You, Too, Can Own a Piece of History

Trading Block: Big momentum days for PriceLine, LinkedIn and Tesla. Zynga rallies. A picture of Alex is up for sale on Ebay.

Odd Block: Diagonal puts trade in Yahoo Inc. (YHOO) ratio call spread buy - Earnings trade goes up in Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL), and calls roll in iShares Dow Jones US Home (ITB) - sell Aug buy Sep.

 

Xpress Block: Three- and four-legged trade tickets to be released early to mid-September. Premium harvesting in the IdeaHub.

 

Strategy Block: Finding your happy, comfortable spot as a trader.

 

Mail Block: Question from the OX community - Hull’s Quant ETF coming, will it change the way folks invest?

 

 

Around the Block: Some more earnings left: Cisco 8/13

Option Block 361: The Happy Bottom

Trading Block: A little bit of a down day on the street, but nothing like last week. Zynga and Groupon after the bell. ZNGA closing south of the 3 handle. VIX futures trading below the VIX cash. Grains and wheat options and the Russia embargo.

 

Odd Block: Combos trade in Flotek Industries Inc. (FTK), puts trade in Gerdau SA (GGB) wheel trade.

 

Xpress Block: LULU has been running hot, but cooled down during the day. Three-to-four leg tickets coming in September. IdeaHub adding 8 names into premium harvesting. What is we see of a Whaley product?

 

Mail Block: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from Reuben Brooks - A few months back, on one of your shows, I think option block, Uncle Mike from RCM was talking about some kind of special offer for individuals in the "wealth accumulation" phase. You jumped in and pointed out that we listeners would be "stupid" to not take advantage of this. So, I am trying to not be stupid. I was not able to follow up right away on that (and in fact I have fallen behind on my podcasts), but I would like to find out more. Can put me in touch with Mike? If you have any other resources for me, i would love to hear it. I am 25, an engineer, I am intrigued by active trading but a bit dubious of technical analysis, and trying to find more edge, and use options to exploit that (either long-term or short-term). Have been trading options in 1 lots to learn. Your podcasts have been a HUGE help in blasting through the steep initial learning curve.
  • Question from Christian C Caropolo - If you buy an option on a company that ends up merging or being bought out with another. What happens to the option you own?
  • Comment/Question from Kaiserdog76: Thanks for the Option Block update today. Missed Longo’s presence but Sebastian did a decent job. Worlds shortest Odd block, but after looking on the web page I found the "Juicy" unusual activity I crave!! That VNDA trade is intriguing. There are some heavy OTM open interest in VNDA all over the strikes and going well out into the future. I do love me some Bio-Tech!  So today I have two stories for you. One of failure and one of success. Let’s start with the failure. Back when PBYI was around $49-50ish I had bought 100 shares in small chunks. When the stock popped to $70 I thought how smart I was and sold every last share. For a decent profit. I know you are thinking well how is that failure? That 4-5 thousand dollar investment would be worth over $20,000 now, so yeah. It can be hard to sleep at night FML for real. My second tale is a much happier one. I own shares on WIN and love the dividend and super well defined uptrend the stock has been in for quite some time. I wanted leverage though. So I took the proceeds from my dividend on WIN and financed some OTM call options on WIN. Well on Tuesday when WIN announced the IRS had "Okayed" them spinning some of their assets into a REIT. WIN popped and I realized over a %1,200 percent gain that day. Now I was able to sell those calls and lock in some fantastic profit all while not selling a single share. So you win some and you lose some I guess. Thanks for everything you guys do! Love the underground radio!! Mark- Kudos again for covering Barclay's and the HFT shakedown that has been going on. It is the biggest thing no one seems to be talking about. Please keep it coming!
  • OX Question - Maker / Taker goes away in the UK. Are we next?

 

 

Around the Block: What will the US do, and how will it affect the markets?

Option Block 360: Return of the Voice

Trading Block: Some of the Thursday selloff coming back into the market. Where could the VIX go in the next few weeks? VXST trading below the VIX cash.

 

Odd Block: Ratio roll calls in Select Sector SPDR Financials (XLF), a ratio time "Tosaw Stupid" in SM Energy Co. (SM), size ITM call buyer with stock in AmerisourceBergen Corp. (ABC), and closing call roll in NQ Mobile (NQ).

 

Xpress Block: A little technical hiccup with Idea Hub. Amazon got a lot of attention today.

 

Strategy Block: Doing stuff - put spreads, managing risk and staying bullish.

 

 

Around the Block: Earnings still left: Activision, Groupon, and Disney. All on 8/5.

Option Block 359: Thursday, Bloody Thursday

Trading Block: A bloody day on the street. A default, a bankruptcy, and bad Fed news. Massive FLEX trades went up today. Professor Whaley and the VIX term structure

 

 

Odd Block: Revisiting a position in iShares MSCI Taiwan Index (EWT)

 

Xpress Block: Alex discusses about the changing metrics in portfolio margining and the risk tools.

 

Strategy Block: Uncle Mike highlights his strategy using the Long SPY Long Oct 190 Put

 

Mail Block: Listener questions and comments.

Question from Steven, San Diego, CA: Listing to the July 24th show on the 25th. So, with the benefit of hindsight, I can you see the majority of the activity in AMZN being discussed was pretty much completely wrong.  It was down, not up, and way past the expected move. So that brings me to the question. Is there any study or statistical evidence that shows that the unusual activity should be followed? Or should be faded? Really think the retail crowd are chasers, which works until it doesn't. The trend is your friend? Bah-humbug! It makes for interesting press, but is it really actionable? Rather than glorifying, would your listeners be better served to be cautioned on this topic rather than enticed? Love the show. Sometimes customer of the Pit and RCM because of the show.

 

Around the Block: Non-farm payrolls: could it possibly turn around the market?

 

 

Option Block 357: AMZN Call Buyers Get Crushed

Trading Block: Markets mostly unchanged in modest volume. Apple posts decent numbers but disappoints overall. Amazon earnings after the bell. OX clients still buying far OTM calls? Facebook rallies $4.50 post earnings and trades over 1m contracts. Ford announced before open. Not much of an event.

Odd Block: Call buyers trade in Wisconsin Energy Corp (WEC), spreads go up in iShares Dow Jones US Homebuilders Index ETF (ITB), call buyers trade in Navios Maritime Holdings Inc (NM), and block prints in WhiteWave Foods Co. (WWAV)

Xpress Block: Alex showcases "The Dragon,” an OX tool that allows you to find unusual activity. 

Mail Block: Listener questions, comments, and suggestions

  • Question from Sea Biscuit: How do the market makers figure into open interest? Do they essentially double all of the OI because they are taking the other sides of every trade? Should i divide all OI numbers by two to get the real activity or is that already done for me?
  • Question from Avon Man: Just to clarify on the conversation from last week, Alex said OI was broken down from each exchange and then netted with market maker activity. So if customer A buys 10 calls on Arca and then customer b sells 10 of those same calls on Arca, both opening, that would be net 0 open interest because they are on the same exchange? But if customer B sells those same calls on a different exchange, let's say NASDAQ, then it would be net 20 calls open on the strike because it’s two different exchanges? Is that right?
  • Question from Alex C: Facebook looking strong post earnings. What option trades do you guys like out there right now, if any? Thanks for the shows. Just checked out Advisors Option for the first time as well. Very timely as I am in the process of picking an advisor.

Around the Block: Earnings-palooza continues

Option Block 356: CME and NFLX Earnings Rundown

Trading Block: A relatively quiet day on the street, after a crazy week. Earnings so far: NFLX after the close, CME (the stealth Apple) after the close. Positioning for Apple tomorrow.

Odd Block: Call buyers trade in Steel Dynamics (STLD), call spreads buyers trade in Orexigen Therapeutics, Inc. (OREX), calls buyer trade in Crocs, Inc. (CROX), call spreads, rolls selling Dec, buying March trade in CytRx Corp. (CYTR).

 

Xpress Block: Herbalife taking a pounding. News on The Walk Limit tool.

 

Strategy Block: An expiration day lesson from Uncle Mike Tosaw and how to avoid unnecessary weekend risk.

 

 

Around the Block: A quick earnings review in CME, NFLX. MSFT and APPL tomorrow. On 7/24: AMZN, F, GM.

Option Block 355: Bleeding Out Into the Pillow

The Trading Block: A bit of a bloodbath on the street. Dire world news out of Ukraine and Israel/Palestine. Yellen's comments reverberating around the market. A 33% spike in the VIX. Microsoft slashing jobs. U.S. House passes spending bill with Dodd-Frank changes. 

The Odd Block: Opening put buy in Currency Shares Canadian Dollar ETF (FXC), short puts with stock trade in Gerdau SA (GGB), big block of puts traders in Janus Capital Group Inc. (JNS), and buying puts in Entergy Corp. (ETR)

Mail Block: Questions and comments from you, our listeners

  • Comment from Jake -  I just wanted to let you guys know that I can’t go a week without getting my fix of lobsters, bubble pipes, fancy hats and of course Mark’s baritone pipes. Keep the shows coming. It makes my week fly by.
  • Question from Series 7 - Hey Mark and his all-stars. I know you guys have touched on a stock being hard to borrow impacting the pricing of the options. But I’m still confused. Can you break it down for me please? Thanks. I know I’ve come to the right place.
  • Question from Connor Mac - If I own a stock and I write an in-the-money call against it is that the same thing as selling the stock? If so what price am I selling the stock for? The strike price? If not am I increasing my probability of my stock being called away before expiration by selling an in-the-money call?

Around the Block: Thursday earnings: Morgan Stanley, Google and IBM.  

Option Block 354:  When to Close Out a Spread

Trading Block: VIX and VIX cash. LULU taking it on the chin. It’s time for the Trading Patterns Guessing Game once again!

 

Odd Block: Calls roll in Danaher Corp (DHR), calls roll in Wisconsin Energy Corp (WEC) - Buy Jul, Sell Jan., closing collar in AGCO Corp (AGCO) - Buy call/sell put, and ratio call spread unwind in Beazer Homes USA, Inc (BZH) - Sell 1, Buy 2.

 

Xpress Block: Alex discusses the development of migrating the OX tools to Schwab, including the 3 and 4-legged trade ticket, due to Schwab Mobile and Street Smart Edge by September.

 

Mail Block: Listener questions and comments.

Question from Neal Augustin - Like the discussion on the recent show about getting free gamma going into earnings. It makes sense since the contracts should experience minimum decay. But do you not have to use a contract that expires after earnings, preferably the earnings week, in order to get that bump? If you use the contract that expires prior to earnings, it should decay like normal, correct?

Question from Trader64 - Spread decay question: Mark said in the mail block in response to a listener question about spread pricing, that the at-the-money and in-the-money options would decay at different rates to make the spread widen. Since this takes a substantial amount of time, should I always count on only capturing a portion of the maximum profit in each of my spreads? If so, what percentage is reasonable? Thanks for the show Mr. Options Voice!

 

Around the Block: More earnings on tap for this week. Citigroup - 7/14. JP Morgan Chase and Goldman Sachs - 7/15. Bank of America - 7/16. Morgan Stanley - 7/17.

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